When do you think humanoids will largely replace manual labor?
Last week I saw the Neo Gama model on Product Hunt – humanoid for house chores.
Today, it is Protoclone and there are even more.
One model is pricy now, but a one-time investment may be cheaper long-term than ongoing salaries from the point of view of a company.
When do you think they will replace physical labour in most cases? (i.e. over 50%)
Which positions will be threatened by these humanoids first?
Which companies are investing in them first and the most?
Curious to see what you think about that. 🙂
Replies
In about 20 years the soonest maybe? Or even less.. looking how it already happening in China, I'm afraid it will be much soon in many developed countries. But for me, in Indonesia, manual labor is still the main occupation of so many people here, and if we lose it to robots, it will be a one of Indonesia's dooms day, so for Indonesian, I think it will definitely take longer, let's say 60 years.
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What is your threat? AI? I saw in China the video how a robot attacked people. 😳
@busmark_w_nika My worry is about robots taking over jobs, especially in places like Indonesia where many still rely on manual work. It could cause big problems if it happens too fast. And the robot attacks in China are scary, but I think they’re rare. People will definitely reflects on the malfunction very fast and make sure it's not gonna happen again.
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@rani_zagita I hope you are right with those preventions from attacks! :D
https://www.unitree.com/g1 say no more. 🫳🎤 (these bots will end up racing to the bottom on price, at some point they will be $999 on aliexpress) At first batteries will burn up, privacy will be questioned, injuries will happen. And then EU will slide in and make lots of regulations of course. But people won't care. It's free labour ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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@sentry_co In China their bots can actually dance and cook, so we are not so far.
70 years from now, especially if it's bargain price made in China. or quality ones from Japan.
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@kilopolki I think it can be sooner 40 year :)
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@kilopolki @busmark_w_nika no more than ~20
Recap
People always overestimate what will change in the next two years but underestimate what will change in the next ten. Yes, I believe massive changes will happen in ten years-or even sooner.
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If we focus on technology improvements, it can happen anything but we are also overwhelmed by other events in life so it means we can lose the focus and track as well.
I’ve noticed that more and more products are appearing on the market recently, which made me realize that it’s highly likely robots will replace humans in the future, especially those simple labor jobs, and it may happen at a rapid pace. Perhaps within the next 10 years, this vision could become a reality. The speed of technological development is always far beyond our imagination.