My predictions about how AI will change various things, in no particular order:
David Frankle
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The end of tedious work? A cat and mouse game between content and filters?
My predictions about how AI will change various things, in no particular order:
In Business:
1. Companies will be able to fill out complex forms very quickly. This will lead to more competition in things like grants, government contracts, subsidies, licenses, permits. How it will work: On the applicant side, companies will be able to point AI software at these forms. The AI will be able to fill out the forms, and (after a quick human review), the forms will be submitted. On the review side: governments or other entities will be able to point AI software at the forms and review the applications, instructing the AI to rank them according to different specified criteria. After a human review of the top AI-selected applications (plus hopefully some random others in the mix), the awards and selections will be made.
2. Job applications and the process of applying to jobs will change a lot. Companies are already using AI to assist in writing job descriptions. Soon, I think companies will be able to use AI in defining criteria and evaluating applicants. On the applicant side, filling out tedious forms and manually entering your resume will end. People are already using AI to assist in writing cover letters. You will probably see a return to pen-and-paper coding interviews and consulting interviews.
3. Advertising will change a lot. Companies are already using AI to assist in writing ad copy and designing ads. With text-to-video, wild animations will be easier than ever (short-form video will be a good breeding ground for this, and because the ROI is an easier sell in advertising, I believe we'll see it in ads first). On the consumer side, ads will be easier to detect and avoid. Think adblocker on steroids. Native ads, entertaining ads, and interactive ads (the types of things consumers opt into) will become more popular.
4. Sales will change a lot. In similar ways to advertising. Sales copy, sales content, sales collateral will be easier to create, so there will be more of it. Because there's more, there will be a growing market for ways to avoid (bad) sales copy. That means it's going to be harder to break through to the gatekeepers. You'll need to do something truly special to stand out. The salespeople who push features instead of benefits will lose. The salespeople who take the time to research and understand their prospects and their prospects' pains will win.
https://i.imgur.com/cKqWnZh.png
In Entertainment
1. It will be infinitely easier to iterate. Writers will be able to outline 10x faster. Producers will be able to storyboard 10x faster. There will be a temptation to turn everything into content farms. Rather than drum out an infinite sea of bland content, I would emphasize the creative process and use the increase in productivity to scale the process 10x more than the result. In other words, use the tools to spend more time planning and editing instead of giving into laziness and pushing out AI generated content as-is without putting your human touch on it. We're going to see many, many, more blogs with clickbait, listicles, and 'meh' quality content.
2. On the consumer end, the lazy consumer will have an infinitely easier time drowning out their own thoughts with humdrum nonsense. Listen, I enjoy dumb reality TV as much as the next guy, but if we don't take some time to be bored and sit in silence, we won't be able to improve our taste and we'll spend more time with the 'meh'. The more outside voices we give our attention, the less attention we'll give to our own voices. It might seem like no big deal, but this will ultimately make it easier for other people to influence us instead of thinking things through carefully and doing things that align to our values. Tl;dr sometimes silence is golden and all that background noise and lack of boredom makes it harder for us to have original thoughts. There's probably a way to connect this thought to the political divide and the culture wars, but I'll save that for a later date.
3. Personalization will be easier than ever. I can easily imagine a world where GPT-10 can create a 30-minute sitcom just for you after briefly observing your interests. This will be VERY cool, and I'm excited, but there are some negative repercussions we should maybe think about as well -- will it be harder to connect to people if everyone's watching their own shows, listening to their own music, and so on?
4. Ads will become more and more integrated with our entertainment. It's feasible to imagine a world where Coca-Cola and Pepsi are content brands with their own streaming services. Based on marketing and branding, I would probably watch Pepsi. This might therefore make it more likely for me to buy Pepsi products more frequently.
https://i.imgur.com/moHbxKL.png
In Education
1. Education will become more and more personalized as well. Imagine a world where an AI-generated Newton explains gravity to you alone using your personal history.
2. We'll see a return to pen-and-paper homework and supervised pen-and-paper writing assignments. It'll be hard to argue about whether or not ChatGPT wrote your essay if you did the assignment in class. That is, until ChatGPT is embedded in our contact lenses like JARVIS.
3. Schools will emphasize editing and iterating over grammar. Call me old fashioned, but I believe grammar is important. I believe the way we structure our language impacts the way we form our thoughts. Knowing how to properly structure our language will always be an important skill.
4. I would like to see more of an emphasis on philosophy, critical thinking, rhetoric, and debate. When anyone with a laptop can create a realistic deepfake video of a public figure saying whatever's written, being able to detect fake news could prevent something horrible from happening.
https://i.imgur.com/w0pwQnk.png
Misc.
1. Within the next 20 years robot housekeepers will become consumer-affordable.
2. Governing will change: when you can feed an AI software thousands of pages and the software's capable of using all of that context, anyone would be able to access even the densest omnibus bill. At the very least, our elected officials should be able to deeply understand every proposed piece of legislation (right now very few do, and who can blame them? Bills can be 1000s of pages long).
🤔
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